Home Affordability Isn’t Dead. It’s Just Been Misunderstood.

January 05, 20264 min read

Home Affordability Isn’t Dead. It’s Just Been Misunderstood.

If you’ve been listening to headlines lately, you’d think buying a home requires either a time machine or a winning lottery ticket.

Good news: neither is required.

What is required is better context—because the story around home affordability has quietly improved, even while the noise got louder. And when you look at what’s actually happening in the Houston housing market, the opportunity is clearer (and calmer) than most people realize.

Let’s break it down.

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The Down Payment Myth Is Shrinking—Fast

Not long ago, the average story was grim:

“It takes 12 years to save for a down payment.”

That number has now dropped to about 7 years—and for many buyers, it can be even shorter.

Why? Because modern mortgage programs don’t require the mythical 20% down.

Today, qualified buyers can:

● Put as little as 3.5% down

● Use 10% down options for self-employed borrowers using bank statements

● Combine savings with larger-than-usual tax refunds expected this year

Translation: the barrier to entry isn’t gone, but it’s far more manageable than headlines suggest.

And that’s before we even talk about Houston-specific market conditions.

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Houston Market Snapshot: More Choice, More Leverage

Right now, the Greater Houston housing market is doing something refreshingly rare—it’s behaving rationally.

Here’s what we’re seeing:

Listing volume up ~22%

● Active inventory up ~32%

● Average list price up ~3.4% year-over-year

That combination tells an important story.

More inventory means:

● More homes to choose from

● Less pressure to overbid

● More room to negotiate

In other words, we’ve moved into a stabilized market, leaning toward buyer-friendly conditions.

For sellers, that may mean more negotiation.

For buyers, it means breathing room—and strategy matters again.

Why the End of the Year Looked “Weird” (and Why That’s Normal)

Late December data often causes confusion, so let’s clear it up.

Closings were down.

Showings dipped slightly.

Listings slowed.

That’s not a market signal—that’s a calendar issue.

Between holidays, shortened work weeks, and families prioritizing time together, activity always compresses at year-end. Buyers who wanted to close before the holidays already did. Sellers rarely list while the tree is still up.

Nothing broke. Nothing stalled. The market behaved exactly as expected.

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Interest Rates: The Quiet Shift That Matters Most

Here’s where things get interesting.

Recent Federal Reserve meeting minutes revealed:

● More Fed governors favoring rate cuts

● Concerns about softening labor markets

● Ongoing purchases of Treasuries and debt instruments to inject liquidity

What does that mean in plain English?

The Fed is actively working to relieve interest rate pressure.

And while no one can promise exact timing, the overall direction points toward gradually lower rates.

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The Waiting Trap (and Why It Backfires)

This is where many buyers hesitate.

“If rates are going down, shouldn’t I wait?”

It sounds logical.

It’s also how people accidentally miss the best window.

Here’s why:

● When rates drop enough, buyers flood back in

● First-time buyers return

● Move-up buyers re-enter

● Downsizers finally act

That’s when competition spikes—and prices follow.

You rarely get the lowest price and lowest rate at the same time.

The smarter approach?

● Buy when competition is lighter

● Negotiate price and terms now

● Refinance later if and when it makes sense

That’s not hype. That’s strategy.

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The Rise of the Self-Employed Buyer

One of the most important (and underreported) shifts happening now:

Over one-third of upcoming mortgages are expected to be for self-employed borrowers.

That includes:

● Bank statement loans

● Profit & loss loans

● 1099-based financing

● Programs that don’t require tax returns

These aren’t loopholes. They’re legitimate, fully compliant solutions designed for modern income realities.

And the key insight?

You want to understand these options before making financial or tax decisions that could limit your borrowing power.

So… Is Now a “Perfect” Time?

No.

And that’s actually the point.

There is no perfect moment with zero trade-offs. What exists instead are windows of opportunity—and right now, this one includes:

● More inventory

● Fewer competing buyers

● Improving rate conditions

● Flexible loan programs

That combination doesn’t last forever.

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Final Thought: Clarity Beats Headlines Every Time

Buying a home isn’t about reacting to fear or chasing timing myths. It’s about understanding your options, your market, and your long-term plan.

That’s where real guidance—not noise—makes the difference.

If you want to explore what’s realistically possible for you, with clarity and zero pressure, that conversation starts with asking better questions—not waiting for perfect conditions.

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Contact Information

Rich Bonn

Habayit Home Loans

📞 281.841.1723

📍 4660 Beechnut St, Ste 225, Houston, TX 77096

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Contact Us

Rich Bonn, NMLS #278696
Branch Manager

(281) 841-1723

4660 Beechnut Street, Suite 225, Houston, TX 77096

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